Parameterized framework for the analysis of probabilities of aircraft delay at an airport

Ronald Wesonga, Fabian Nabugoomu, Peter Jehopio

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

9 Citations (Scopus)


The study analyses ground delays and air holding at Entebbe International Airport over five years. Daily probabilities for aircraft departure and arrival delays at are generated for each. The mean probabilities of delay for ground delays and air holding at 50% delay threshold levels are 0.94 and 0.82 that fall to 0.49 and 0.36 when 60% delay threshold levels are used. Simulations are performance for delay threshold levels to monitor for the trends of the daily probabilities for the study period. The general conclusion is that a parameter-based framework is best suited to determine the probability of aircraft delay at an airport.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1-4
Number of pages4
JournalJournal of Air Transport Management
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2012



  • Aircraft delay
  • Probability of delay
  • Threshold levels of airport delays

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Transportation
  • Strategy and Management
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
  • Law

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