On multivariate imputation and forecasting of decadal wind speed missing data

Ronald Wesonga*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

18 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper demonstrates the application of multiple imputations by chained equations and time series forecasting of wind speed data. The study was motivated by the high prevalence of missing wind speed historic data. Findings based on the fully conditional specification under multiple imputations by chained equations, provided reliable wind speed missing data imputations. Further, the forecasting model shows, the smoothing parameter, alpha (0.014) close to zero, confirming that recent past observations are more suitable for use to forecast wind speeds. The maximum decadal wind speed for Entebbe International Airport was estimated to be 17.6 metres per second at a 0.05 level of significance with a bound on the error of estimation of 10.8 metres per second. The large bound on the error of estimations confirms the dynamic tendencies of wind speed at the airport under study.

Original languageEnglish
Article number12
JournalSpringerPlus
Volume4
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2015
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Forecasting
  • Imputations
  • Missing data
  • Statistical models
  • Wind speed

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General

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