A regional review of marine and coastal impacts of climate change on the ROPME sea area

Susana Lincoln*, Paul Buckley, Ella L. Howes, Katherine M. Maltby, John K. Pinnegar, Thamer S. Ali, Yousef Alosairi, Alanoud Al-Ragum, Alastair Baglee, Chiden Oseo Balmes, Radhouane Ben Hamadou, John A. Burt, Michel Claereboudt, Jane Glavan, Rusyan Jill Mamiit, Humood Abdulla Ahmed Naser, Omid Sedighi, Mohammad Reza Shokri, Bassam Shuhaibar, Colette C.C. WabnitzWill J.F.Le Quesne

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

The Regional Organization for the Protection of the Marine Environment (ROPME) Sea Area (RSA) in the northern Indian Ocean, which comprises the Gulf, the Gulf of Oman and the northern Arabian Sea, already experiences naturally extreme environmental conditions and incorporates one of the world’s warmest seas. There is growing evidence that climate change is already affecting the environmental conditions of the RSA, in areas including sea temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen, pH, and sea level, which are set to continue changing over time. The cumulative impacts of these changes on coastal and marine ecosystems and dependent societies are less well documented, but are likely to be significant, especially in the context of other human stressors. This review represents the first regional synthesis of observed and predicted climate change impacts on marine and coastal ecosystems across the ROPME Sea Area and their implications for dependent societies. Climate-driven ecological changes include loss of coral reefs due to bleaching and the decline of fish populations, while socio-economic impacts include physical impacts from sea-level rise and cyclones, risk to commercial wild capture fisheries, disruption to desalination systems and loss of tourism. The compilation of this review is aimed to support the development of targeted adaptation actions and to direct future research within the RSA.

Original languageEnglish
Article number13810
JournalSustainability (Switzerland)
Volume13
Issue number24
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 1 2021
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Anthropocene
  • Climate risk
  • Environmental benefits
  • Environmental change
  • Marine heatwave
  • Oxygen minimum zone
  • Socio-economic factors

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
  • Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

Cite this