The hidden role of the pre-symptomatic individuals in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19

Nasser Al-Salti, Fatma Al-Musalhi*, Maryam Al-Yahyai, Ibrahim M. Elmojtaba

*المؤلف المقابل لهذا العمل

نتاج البحث: المساهمة في مجلةمراجعة النظراء

ملخص

In this paper, a mathematical model with four different routes of transmission, namely, asymptomatic, pre-symptomatic, symptomatic and environmental transmissions, has been proposed and analyzed to investigate the role of pre-symptomatic individuals in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak. Using the next generation matrix method, the basic reproduction number R0 has been derived and then sensitivity analysis of the proposed model is presented. Existence and stability analysis of disease free and endemic equilibrium points have been discussed. Numerical simulations to demonstrate the effect of some model parameters related to pre-symptomatic transmission on the disease transmission dynamics have been carried out.

اللغة الأصليةEnglish
رقم المقال71
الصفحات (من إلى)1-22
عدد الصفحات22
دوريةCommunications in Mathematical Biology and Neuroscience
مستوى الصوت2020
المعرِّفات الرقمية للأشياء
حالة النشرPublished - 2020
منشور خارجيًانعم

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • ???subjectarea.asjc.2800???
  • ???subjectarea.asjc.1300???
  • ???subjectarea.asjc.2600.2604???

بصمة

أدرس بدقة موضوعات البحث “The hidden role of the pre-symptomatic individuals in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19'. فهما يشكلان معًا بصمة فريدة.

قم بذكر هذا